Traditional Realistic Potential Rating (1-10)
(a player’s realistic potential ability):
10. Generational Talent – a player for the ages, one who can do things with a puck that no other player would even contemplate doing. Very, very few players will be deserving of this rating, probably one per decade.
Defense: Bobby Orr
Forward: Wayne Gretzky
Goaltender: Patrick Roy
9. Elite Talent – possesses the potential for greatness, a perennial All-Star throughout his career.
Defense: Drew Doughty, Duncan Keith, P.K. Subban
Forward: Jamie Benn, Evgeni Malkin, Patrick Kane
Goaltender: Carey Price, Jonathan Quick, Henrik Lundqvist
8. First-Line Forward/ No. 2 Defenseman / No. 1 Goaltender – players with definite skill that might be just a cut below elite status, but still possessing All-Star potential.
Defense: Brent Seabrook, John Carlson, Roman Josi
Forward: Daniel Sedin, Ryan O’Reilly, Bobby Ryan
Goaltender: Corey Crawford, Marc-Andre Fleury, Cory Schneider
7. Second-Line Forward/ No. 3-4 Defenseman / Journeyman No. 1 Goaltender – players not quite good enough to play on the top line or pairing on a regular basis, but still possessing enough talent to contribute offensively, defend with some authority, or competently play the goaltender’s position for long stretches.
Defense: Kevin Shattenkirk, Alec Martinez, Jeff Petry
Forward: Tomas Tatar, Ryan Kesler, James Neal
Goaltender: Devan Dubnyk, Jaroslav Halak, Mike Smith
6. Third-Line Forward/ No. 5-6 Defenseman / Backup Goaltender – generally speaking, players whose game is defensively-oriented, or whose abilities aren’t quite good enough to land full-time duty on the second line, top two defensive pairings, or the No. 1 goaltending position.
Defense: Jared Cowen, Braydon Coburn, Mark Stuart
Forward: Dwight King, Cody Eakin, Alex Burrows
Goaltender: Thomas Greiss, Jhonas Enroth, Michael Hutchinson
5. Fourth line forward / No. 7 defenseman / depth goaltender – players that populate the 4th line, will fill in for injured defensemen, or have some ability to play goal in the NHL but are mostly very good minor league goaltenders. Think of any enforcer you care to name, or any energy player you care to name, or any unlucky defensemen or goaltenders that don’t quite have enough talent to crack an NHL lineup full time.
4. Top minor league forward / defenseman / goaltender – players unlikely to have long careers in the NHL, but they’ll be recalled when injuries or other circumstances arise.
3. Average minor league forward / defenseman / goaltender – players who will in all likelihood spend their entire careers in the minor leagues.
2. Minor league role-player – players who populate minor league rosters for the purpose of populating minor league rosters. Mostly ECHL players or lower, but ones that could receive some playing time in the AHL.
1. Borderline minor league player – players one step away from the beer leagues.
Realistic Probability Rating (A-F)
(the player’s realistic chances of achieving their potential):
A – All but guaranteed to reach potential – 100 percent metaphysical certitude that the player will play up to his abilities as noted by his potential rating. In this case, the potential rating is multiplied by 100 percent for depth chart purposes, signaling that the player is a lock to reach his given potential.
B – Should reach potential, could drop 1 rating – likely to reach potential, but may have a hole or two in his game that will keep him from reaching his full potential. The potential rating is multiplied by 90 percent for depth chart purposes, which indicates slightly less certainty about a player’s future performance.
C – May reach potential, could drop 2 ratings – has shown some flashes, but may ultimately not have what it takes to reach his potential. The potential rating is multiplied by 80 percent for depth chart purposes to show the uncertainty of a player reaching his potential.
D – Unlikely to reach potential, could drop 3 ratings – a player who has a chance to reach his potential but is unlikely to do so. The potential rating is multiplied by 70 percent for depth chart purposes, indicating that the player’s potential is extremely fluid.
F – A player possessing little potential who has a mountain to climb just to reach the outermost boundary of that potential. The potential rating is multiplied by 50 percent depth chart purposes.
Note: The % modifiers are used for sorting the depth chart only. No inference or conclusion is to be drawn from the numerical result in relation to player comparison. This is just our un-elegant solution to a complex problem